An Occasional Win

A quick skip back through earlier posts will tell you that I often come off worse in favourable situations. Yes, despite the leaks in my games and the numerous times I’ve made bad plays, I am also horribly unlucky – as is indicated by my expected value in all-in situations being about 20% above my actual all-in winnings.

I am – at least at times when my confidence isn’t completely shredded – willing to mix it up with the best hand. And it’s always nice to hold Aces preflop and find the person pushing their chips in against you has just the hand you were hoping they had. Run cold like this, even 22 is a favourite over AK, and AA completely crushes it. Flop has a K? No problem. The case A? Fine. Both to make two pair? That’s a set for me, thank you.

                 equity         
Hand 0:     93.172%      { AA }
Hand 1:     06.828%      { AKo }

Since I looked again at my game and changed the way I play the turn especially, I’ve had a minor overall loss in just one session (due to a very bad play on my part – time to quit for the day) and am up about 300bbs. The main thing is, despite running bad (two 20+ bb losses with more than 70% equity all-in), it feels like I’m playing more solidly and worrying less about making costly blunders.

Full Tilt Poker $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold’em – 5 players – View hand 256928

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $5.18

Hero (BB): $7.05

UTG: $1.78

CO: $5.02

BTN: $5.56

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with A A

1 fold, CO raises to $0.17, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, CO raises to $1.52, Hero raises to $4.50, CO raises to $5.02 all in, Hero calls $0.52

Arguably my reraise here should have been larger, but it was roughly pot sized and served the purpose of leaving the CO with the difficult decision whether to jettison his hand after 4 betting me, which would have been costly.

Flop: ($10.06) Q J 2

Turn: ($10.06) J

River: ($10.06) 5

Final Pot: $10.06

Hero shows A A (two pair, Aces and Jacks)

CO shows A K (a pair of Jacks)

Hero wins $9.39

(Rake: $0.67)

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